Tuesday, December 13, 2022

HTPB 21.14

 


Goodbye regular season and with it we say goodbye to half the league.  Better luck next year, but here is a little nugget to hold on to for next year.  You already know your first week matchups and the team that you will battle twice.  ODS vs RM, BNE vs BB's, IS vs TC.  Despite how shitty your team was this year, have no fear, you get to play somebody who was shitty twice next year.  Is opportunity knocking or is that the Toilet Bowl Trophy clanking around in Dollars trunk on the way to Cory's house?




Evan Engram came to town and left with ODS's dignity.  When your squad gets beaten by Evan Engram, Jared Goff, and Zanovan Knight beat you can stop complaining about the schedule being what kept you from having a good season and look in the damn mirror. Hardcore Cabinet returns to the playoffs and ODS returns to the drawing the board.


Dollars gets himself yet another lucky win as he finally put BNE and his auto draft out of his misery.  Dollars has been unbelievably lucky this season.  Like horseshoe so far up the ass that it's brushing up against the back of his molars. BNE continually brings up how bad the schedule has fucked him.  It has fucked him but it was playing just the tip because BNE's record should have been a playoff missing 6-8 not a playoff missing 5-9. Dollars makes the playoffs as the third seed despite being 11th in points.  11th! That's insane. Dollars did hit 4 of his 7 playoff picks for a score of 57%.  7 percent better than a flipping a coin.  If you want to read what Dollars thought in August. click here.


In a game that had no realistic chance at the playoffs or the toilet, Bay-Bay's defeated Collegians in the IT OCCIRED BOWL. Neither team made the playoffs and Dan finishes his first season in HTPB with the same number of career playoff victories as JC (currently) and RM (at this point presumably forever and ever amen)  I eulogized Steve not going back to back this week despite Steve holding on to his impossible impossibility of playoff chances he was holding on to this week and I'm not going to spend any more time on this game. 



Eh Bid Dude defeated Rush' Missiles to send RM to his family's birthright.  The Toilet Bowl.  In his 7 years in the league, Cory has managed 33 wins.  That's less than 5 wins a season.  The following teams have more wins than Cory in less seasons: Blue Gatorade, Jeremy's Brother, Big East Ballers, and if you include playoff wins add the BloodFarts. His winning percentage is lowest in league history non Murdoch's two seasons of garbage.  The Rush ' Missiles franchise if officially the worst in league history.    And just so he doesn't get all butt hurt about me not mentioning it here, EBD won high score and position bet this week.



Italian Stallions continued to win games that didn't matter for him as he defeated Stabmyballzrepeatedly.  Fun fact: Dom's 6 wins all came in 2 week bunches. Also to make Dom feel good, Patrick Mahomes threw the same number of interceptions this week as Jalen Hurts has all season (3).  Things have fallen apart a bit for SMBR down the stretch losing three games in a row, but has he been shitty like a fox?  He cratering down the standings allows him to play Dollars (the shittiest playoff by far) and is an LZ upset of EBD away from avoiding both EBD and BL until the super bowl. 






In a battle of wolves who Blue Gatorade could have made a loser leave town match but turned into a loser gets to avoid Hardcore Cabinet in the first round match. Los Zapatistas jumped at the chance to avoid playing the team that has whipped his butt twice already this season.  LZ looks to regroup with the return of his sweet prince, while Jeremy's Brother looks to do what Tinker Stinkers was never able to do.  Win a playoff game. 







Blue Gatorade killed his playoff chances and allowed Bricklayers dreams of keeping their undefeated season alive with a Huntley homerun.  This marked the second time this season that someone living at 4231 Timberidge Ave started the wrong QB by 30 points and allowed Bricklayers to sneak off with a win. Bricklayers has been an injury free buzzsaw this season and looks to match the 2005 ODS with as an undefeated champion.

Comparing the two teams with undefeated regular seasons is very hard to do with very different scoring and 4 additional franchises in the league but I tried to do so math.  It's not apples to apples.  Jim Brown wouldn't be nearly as dominant today but he was so much better than his peers, he is widely considered the greatest RB ever.  Matt Fucking Shuab is 11th all time in QB rating.  It's fucking hard which is why I can only do based on comparison to each's league opponents that season.  

In 2022 Bricklayers scored 1747.03 in 14 games while ODS scored 1398.10 in 2005 over 13 games.  We will look at this as points scored as a percentage of the league total.  Bricklayers scored 8% of the total points in the league while ODS scored 11.8% of the league's total points.  ODS didn't have the highest point total that year as Deez Nuts bested him with 5 weeks above 130 points which under our old scoring system is about 165 in today's league.  That is fucking crazy.  But he dropped tons of shit weeks too.  Weird team that year for Deez.  Advantage ODS.  

In 2005 ODS winning percentage in the power rankings was 71% while BL came in at a whopping 76% this season.  Advantage BL.

Number of weeks with a lucky win which is how many times a team was in the lower half the league in points scored but managed to pull of a win.  This season that would be a Dollars. Bricklayers pulled out two Dollars this season. (two wins with 8 most points in 14 man league) While ODS pulled out only 1 in 2005.  (7th most in a ten man).  Advantage ODS.

Final verdict.  It's so difficult to move eras and compare.  It's basically a coin flip so you decide and debate.  But none of it means shit if Bricklayers doesn't win the title.  (See 2016 Golden State Warriors)


Final regular season pick em results.

Congratyualtions are in order for Dan who went 6-1 this week.  Kevin and Big E came in dead last at 1-6.  Overall HC leads with 60 correct picks while Jason has 59.  Brickwood is lying in the weeds with 55 wins.  ODS is dead last with 37 wins.  Playoff picks can be made here.




Final Power Rankings


- UNLUCKY
+ LUCKY
PWR
TIERSRANKWL+/-
Clear cut FavoriteBL143390
Going for that #1 spotEBD123590
Trevor Lawrence, Lamar :( & Fish
BG10874-5
SMBR103791
HC100820
Lobo in the playoffs, commish, too little too late, Jeremy's Bro back in the hunt!
LZ9488-5
ODS9290-7
IS9191-2
TS90923
Dog doo, dollars sneaks in
BNE84981
$$821007
barf
TC611215
BB541281
NEW COR COR TIERCB491331



Yahoo Trophy Update.
EBD and BL are tied for the lead with 28 out of 58 medals, 5 clear of HC and JB.  ODS and BB pulled up the rear with 13 two behind Cory. You can check out yours here.

Round 1 Playoff Preview

Bricklayers gets a bye.  Had they played Skynet would have given BG a 34.88% chance in that fictious game.

EBD battles Los Zapatistas or whatever the hell he will be called next. Skynet says...EBD 61.28%
EBD last playoff win 2016, LZ last won a playoff game in 2019.

HC (2020) battles Jeremy's Brother (2017) Skynet gives HC 57.4% probability. 

$$$ (2018) vs SMBR (2021) with SMBR projected pull the "upset" 60.35%.

Hope you enjoyed the regular season. I will try to keep the fun coming in blog form through the playoffs if the content allows.  Let me know what features, statistics, jokes you have enjoyed.  Regardless of whether you win that week or not, Dom.  



Tuesday, December 6, 2022

HTPB 21.13

 


Week 13 in the rearview mirror, it left half the league in the review mirror as well.  Heading into the final week of the season.  Only 8 teams remain alive for the 7 spots.  4 clinched, Dollars, EBD, SMBR and Bricklayers leaving HC, LZ, JB, and BG fighting for the last remaining 4 spots.  Who is going to be left out after this round of musical chairs? 



Dollars dusted of DeShaun Watson and left his TE position empty and Italian Stallions took advantage.  Italian Stallions started the day with a faint breath of life but was unable to get the 400 other things that needed to happen to stay alive.  Dollars can finish the regular season anywhere between 3rd through 6th depending on the results of next week.  Dollars has been below 100 more than above it and his hopeful savior looked like a guy who hadn't played in front of fans in since the previous decade. Italian Stallions continues yet another disappointing season. He hasn't made the playoffs since 2017 hasn't won a game in the playoffs since 2011 which was also the last season that the Italian Stallions defeated Hardcore Cabinet.  Maybe one year, Italian Stallions will get their shit together



The crack research team here at the blog determined that this game did in fact happen. Rush' N Missiles continued to slide to straight to the toilet trophy. He's lost 9 of his last ten games.  The Big Nasty Express has turned an automated draft into a higher place in the standings than 4 other teams.  RM has been in the league for good stretch now and looks to have more Toilet Bowl Trophies (1) than playoff wins (0).  I think it might be time that RM retire and spend his time doing what is meant to be doing.  Being the bottom assistant on several different teams.


                                                                (Smack talk from this game)

Blue Gatorade kept their playoff hopes alive with a convincing victory over Stabmyballzrepeatedly.  SMBR lost Lamar Jackson who has been key to this 3 year run.  SMBR is heading to the playoffs as long as he sets a lineup next week.  Which with Kevin you never really now do you?  Nobody wants to see BG in the playoffs.  He can only be the 7th seed which is a shitty present for the #2 seed if he does make it.




Bricklayers was able to push back the attack from Jeremy's Brother but as of yet as not pushed back the accurate accusation that his is smug. Jeremy's Brother introduced People's Exbibit #425 when BL complained that his slash's quarterback being injured was going to be problem for his injury free team.  JB's team took another blow when Jimmy G was lost for the season.  He now must turn to Russell Wilson in a near must win game for JB next week against LZ in which Blue Gatorade can take the spot of the loser with a victory. 



The Shoes went crazy this week with the Browns defense scoring 3 touchdowns and his prince scoring 2 more to old back EBD despite a good week. EBD wanted to lose to hurt BG chances of making the playoffs even had EBD yelling for it.  LZ took home the high score this week and the huge point total greatly improved his chances of making the playoffs even with a loss next week as he and Jeremy's Brother each try to put each other's playoff chances in the lake.


Bay Bay's no longer has to fear getting the toilet trophy shipped to Connecticut.  He rest easy that he was terrible during his first year in the league but not the worst. He knows all the information but most likely suffers from cognitive overload when it comes time to sign free agents and draft. ODS was not so lucky it avoiding the toilet.  In a season that started as, "Hey I'm having the worst luck." has devolved into, "Hey, my team is shit." But the season could end on a high note as ODS would avoid the toilet and hurt HC playoff chances with a victory next week. 



The Collegians kept the entire league up to date with his misery of ending his reign.  Steve is now in the concussion protocol like Joe Mixon after banging his head against the wall after every HC TD. He was hoist by his own petard. Their manager had convinced himself that it wasn't smoke and mirrors and that he was good.  But Hardcore Cabinet answered that question for him this week.   The Jamaal Williams touchdown train continued chugging down the tracks to total 5 Hardcore TD's from the Lions.  Hardcore Cabinet pulls out the win despite Alvin Kamara being a turd burger all season except for one game.  Next week Hardcore Cabinet it in with a win or a Blue Gatorade loss or some really confusing situation if neither happen.  The big news is that we continue the league's perfect streak of not having a repeat champion.  


- UNLUCKY
+ LUCKY
PWR
TIERSRANKWL+/-
Undeafeated?BL136200
Contenders. Can BG get in>?
EBD111450
BG10452-5
SMBR101551
Some unlucky mugs
HC91650
LZ8967-5
ODS8670-7
BNE8571-1
$$/TS got the horseshoe
$$81755
IS80760
TS80764
See aboveTC61955
DOO DOO
CB461100
BB461101
NOTES:
SMBR/$$ Set scoring lows for themselves
LZ Set his season High
Top/Bot 4 in scoring
BOT 4TOP 4
$$32
BB80
BG36
BL09
BNE44
CB90
EBD28
HC34
IS43
LZ34
ODS34
SMBR37
TC72
TS43



The Final Skynet Computer Playoff Probability

BL, EBD, $, SMBR are all in.
RM leads the toilet odds with 92% probability, ODS 8%
Playoff odds HC 99% LZ 86% JB 80% BG34%

Playoff scenarios

The four teams fighting for 3 spots all are in with a win.  BG is eliminated with a loss putting HC, LZ, and JB regardless of outcome.  If BG and HC win the loser of LZ/JB is out.  If BG wins and HC loses the final playoff spot with be a point tiebreaker between HC and LZ/JB loser. HC currently leads LZ by 14 points and JB by 50 points.
So basically BG loses no drama.  BG wins LOTS of drama.
Dollars ended up only getting 3 for sure playoff teams right.  3 for sure wrong (ODS, TC, IS) and Hardcore Cabinet will decide if Dr. Dollars playoff predictions were a winner or a loser this year.

Congratulations to Week 13 winners Italian Stallions and Blue Gatorade going 6-1. Much like everything else in the league Rush'n Missiles settled into last place with two games picked correctly. ODS is dead last overall however so it seems fitting that they are also at the bottom of the league standings. HC takes a 2 game lead over JB into the final week.  It would have have 3 but JB finally quit stubbornly picking against HC and it benefited him.  Week 14 picks should be entered here. 

Week 14 preview

Game of the Week
#1 Bricklayers vs #8 Blue Gatorade
BNE vs $$$
HC vs ODS
IS vs SMBR
LZ vs JB
TC vs BB

Toilet Bowl Game of the Week
#2 EBD vs #14 RM
RM must win to avoid toiletries.  Even with a win, ODS must lose as well. You should probably start clearing shelf space.  Anyone got the proper count of of how many times the Brothers in Law have won this thing.  I mean it's for sure over a 1/3 of the league's history.  Does being near Joe's log cock make you shitty at fantasy football?  I assume Peach has never won a single game of fantasy football. 

Enjoy the final week with everyone involved.