Tuesday, November 28, 2023

HTPB 22.12

 




The Shoes got one step closer to getting a first round bye and ended Ogre's Death Squad's season which should have dead long ago.  CJ Stroud continues to lead the revamped Zapatistas.  LZ owns the league's longest winning streak at 4 (tied with HC) and would need to lose out or lose one with terrible point totals to miss out on that first round bye. It seems like the next truly meaningful game LZ will play is going to be in week 16.  Will he still be in synch after such a long layoff?  ODS goes back to the drawing board yet again.


Bay-Bay's and The Collegians in a week loaded with teams getting fat on points, decided to watch their weight.  The Collegians have managed to win their 7 game having scored less than 100 in 4 of them.  Tua gave Bay-Bay's the blackest of Fridays managing only 8 points while Tyreke brought in 20.  The Collegians were "led" with 19 points from Goff.  But regardless of how ugly it has been The Collegians likely only need to win one more game against IS or RM to clinch a playoff berth.  


Big Nasty Express ended Tinker Stinkers playoff streak.  The last member of the league to start their career with a really long playoff streak quit immediately after the one year that they missed hopefully history repeats itself
The BNE despite the overwhelming victory is not completly out of the woods as far as the toiletries and neither are Tinker Stinkers.  Both still have an outside chance to head home with a trophy this season like the winners that they are. 


Lee Corso has a message for both Bricklayers playoff bid and The Italian Stallions quest for yet another Toilet Trophy season.
Jalen Hurts and CMC combined for 69 points. Nice.  IS managed to put up 118 despite a double goose egg.  Bricklayers needs to find another victory or against Dollars and Tinker Stinkers to keep his season alive.  The Stallions will battle two teams that have not been scoring as of later BB and TC and likely needs both to avoid their record setting last place finish.  

Stabmyballzrepeatedly stabbed Blue Gatorade to the tune of a league high 151 points.  Blue Gatorade put up a Rudyesque 135 points in the loss.  The results currently have both teams in the top 7 but both still need to do more work to make it to the promised land.  Dak has been playing a ridicuoous level, as SMBR has been raking in the points as of late.  Especially helpful when he starts a full active lineup and ignores Big' E's super jealousy.  Kevin seen here taking the call   Blue Gatorade had 4 players break 20 but it wasn't enough as he takes the hard luck loss.  


He did it ladies and gentlemen.  Rush 'n Missiles has hit 100 two weeks in a row.  Josh Allen led RM to a victory over Dollars in one of his stinker weeks.  That is the first time he has scored 100 two weeks in a row all season.  Some might say he did that earlier this season, but I say nay, RM hit 100, four weeks in a row, which is quite clearly not twice, ya big dummies. Joe 100'aire himself, Cory went through for the following data

Through 12 weeks the number of times a team scored 100
LZ 9
BG 7
HC 7
BL 7
$$ 6
RM 7
TC 5
ODS 6
EBD 8
SMBR 8
BB 7
TS 4
BNE 6
IS 4


Times opponent scored 100
LZ 6
BG 5
HC 5
BL 8
$$ 5
RM 6
TC 5
ODS 7
EBD 9
SMBR 7
BB 6
TS 7
BNE 6
IS 10

So looking at that everybody is pretty bunched up. What jumps out to me is that Italian Stallions is the low man in scoring and high man in getting scored against.  Also The Collegians somehow causes his matchup to suck most weeks. 


For the fourth week in a row, Hardcore Cabinet pulls a win out of his ass on Monday night when he should have lost. HC was led by the returning Kyren Willaims' 35 points.  Eh Bid Dude was once again unlucky going up against Hardcore on a week that Armani Cooper Kupp scored a combined 5 points.  So unlucky to play HC on a week when his defense outscores HC by 18.  Rudy finds his back against the wall for a playoff spot needing to most likely win out against SMBR and TS.  Hardcore appears to be playoff bound as all projections seem to show 7 wins as the cut off line.  I haven't looked at all of the schedule possibilities for the rest of the year, it's 7 am.  You'll see later, skynet says HC is in.


#1 Seed is LZ's to lose with a 95% chance.  The only one who could catch them is 5% from Hardcore Cabinet.  

Playoff Odds has LZ and HC in.

The rest: RM 95, BG 92, BL 85, TC 70, SMBR 69, $$ 38, EBD 33, ODS 14, TS 2

Toilet odds
IS 80, BNE 5, TS 10, BB 5


1. LZ 97-59
2. BL 95-61
3. EBD 92-64
4. RM 90-66


5. SMBR 85-71
6. BG 84-72


7. BNE 77-78-1
8. BB 75-81
9. $$ 72-84
10 HC 72-84


11. TC 64-91-1
12. TS 64-92
13. ODS 64-92
14. IS 60-96

Hardcore Cabinet is a whopping 9 spots ahead of where he should be, EBD is 7 lower than he should be.


SMBR goes 7-0 to win the week.  Which is crazy considering he made his picks before week 1.  EBD is last this week with a record of 2-5.  The Collegians hold the overall lead, while Dollars is last overall.  Pick week 13 here. 



Game of the Week
(Rematch week, winner of week 1 in CAPS)

2 Hardcore Cabinet vs 4 BLUE GATORADE


 ODS vs rm
BB vs bne
bl vs TS
dollars vs LZ
EBD vs smbr
is vs TC

The season is hitting the home stretch, only two weeks left.  You is going to enter the chaos of the playoffs and who will get to have more time on their hands to use productively in some way, I'm sure.














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